Thứ Ba, 29 tháng 5, 2018

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There are various political and technical factors to be taken into account when it comes

to the timetable for North Korea's denuclearization.

Some are confident the process could require just a couple of years,... while others say

at least 15.

Park Hee-jun turned to some experts for their analysis.

Views differ about how long it could take for North Korea to denuclearize.

Some experts say it could take well over a decade.

Professor Siegfried Hecker of Stanford University, who's a former director of the Los Alamos

weapons laboratory in New Mexico,... told the New York Times that the disarmament process

would require at least 15 years.

According to a roadmap drawn up with his colleagues at Stanford's Center for International Security

and Cooperation,... denuclearization would happen in three stages.

Step 1 involves halting nuclear tests and all operations at nuclear reactors and related

facilities.

Step 2 is the dismantling of missiles and nuclear facilities,... which would then have

to be monitored and inspected.

Finally, in the third step, North Korea eliminates its nuclear program and joins the non-proliferation

treaty,... redirecting its nuclear scientists and engineers to civilian programs.

The last step alone would take a decade,... meaning a total of more than 15 years.

But other experts say the process could end much more quickly... if the North is determined

to do it.

"I think it's possible for North Korea to denuclearize within President Trump's remaining

years in office,... as long as it chooses to.

And it's likely to,... because the U.S. only ease its sanctions and protect the regime

when it does."

"President Trump has set his own timetable for the North's denuclearization.

If North Korea follows through with the plan until it's no longer a threat to the U.S.,...

it could take maybe two-and-a-half to three-and-a-half years."

So rather than the technological issues of nuclear disarmament,... the main factor could

be North Korea's will and sincerity.

Park Hee-jun, Arirang News.

For more infomation >> Views differ on how long North Korea's disarmament process could take - Duration: 1:57.

-------------------------------------------

How Long Can We Live? - Duration: 3:22.

This video was sponsored by Squarespace.

Hi, this is Emily from MinuteEarth.

Not to sound super morbid, but with each passing second of life, the cells in our bodies accrue

a little more damage, which is at least partly why, as people get older, their odds of dying

increase: today, a 40 year-old has a .3% chance of dying in the next year, while a 60-year

old has a 1% chance of dying in the next year, an 80 year old has a 5 percent chance, and

a 100-year-old has a 50% chance.

But around that age, there's some evidence that the odds of dying level off.

So, what would make the mortality curve flatten out like that?

Well, ne theory is that it has to do with natural selection and bad jeans – the other

kind.

Take a hypothetical gene mutation that proves fatal during childhood.

Because it kills its host before they get old enough to reproduce, it never gets passed

on – natural selection weeds it out.

On the other hand, a nasty mutation that tends to kill people after they grow up and reproduce

can get passed on, but here's where things get complicated, because human kids depend

on their parents for survival.

So a bad gene that tends to kill relatively young adults is also likely to indirectly

kill their young kids, and thus be weeded from the gene pool, too.

But a bad gene that kills slightly older adults has a lower chance of indirectly killing their

slightly older, more self-sufficient kids, and thus has a lower chance of getting weeded

out of the gene pool, and a gene that kills even older adults has an even lower chance

of also killing their kids.

In short, natural selection's ability to eliminate harmful genes gets lower and lower

as the age at which those genes strike gets higher and higher.

And this could explain the weird death rate curve.

Like, think of natural selection as a magical force field that protects people from the

grim reaper, but it gets weaker as people get older, so their odds of dying go up.

Eventually, the force field wears off entirely, so while people's chances of dying at that

age are really high, they don't go up any further because there's no protection left

to lose.

And if the death rate really does level out - say, somewhere around 50 percent once we

hit 100 years of age - how long humans can ultimately live is just a numbers game: right

now, there are about half a million hundred-year-olds on Earth.

If half of them die each year, only about 15 thousand will make it to 105, only about

500 will make it to 110,and odds are none of the current centenarians will beat the

old-age record of 122 . But if we count all 7.7 billion people living on the planet today,

odds are that 15 people will beat that record – and one lucky human will live to the ripe

old age of 127.

This video was sponsored by Squarespace.

Squarespace lets you turn your idea into a great website by giving you templates from

world-class designers, free and secure hosting, and nothing to patch or upgrade, ever.

Say you want to make a fanfiction website about groups of super-old people who come

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All you have to do is head over to Squarespace.com/MINUTEEARTH for a free trial and when you're ready to

launch, use the offer code MinuteEarth to save 10% off your first purchase of a website

or domain.

Think it.

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With Squarespace.

For more infomation >> How Long Can We Live? - Duration: 3:22.

-------------------------------------------

How Long is My Rate Locked in for? - Duration: 1:29.

Hello this is Joe Harris with Morgan Financial and here is your "Joe Knows

Mortgages MINUTE". This week we answer the question "How long is my rate locked in

for?" A rate lock period can vary in length; longer rate locks usually

cost more. They cost more either in the rate or in the fees or both. A lender

will agree to hold your interest rate and fees for a longer period; in

exchange, the rate and fees may be higher than the shorter rate lock period. Your

mortgage professional can help determine if you need a longer rate lock period

than the normal 30 to 45 days. At Morgan Financial, we have many extend rate lock

options so be certain to ask your loan originator. Thank you for tuning into

this "Joe Knows Mortgages MINUTE". If you have any home loan related questions, we want

to hear from you. All questions will be replied to so please submit your

questions below. Please like and share this information with anyone who you

think may benefit and be sure to check out our next "Joe Knows Mortgages

MINUTE" which we feature on Mondays. Talk to you soon!

For more infomation >> How Long is My Rate Locked in for? - Duration: 1:29.

-------------------------------------------

Views differ on how long North Korea's disarmament process could take - Duration: 2:11.

There are various political and technical factors to be taken into account when it comes

to how long North Korea's denuclearization could take.

Some are confident the process could take just a couple of years,... while others say

at least 15 years.

Park Hee-jun turned to some experts for their analysis.

Views differ about how long it could take for North Korea to denuclearize.

Some experts say it could take well over a decade.

Professor Siegfried Hecker of Stanford University, who's a former director of the Los Alamos

weapons laboratory in New Mexico,... told the New York Times that the disarmament process

would require at least 15 years.

According to a roadmap drawn up with his colleagues at Stanford's Center for International Security

and Cooperation,... denuclearization would happen in three stages.

Step 1 involves halting nuclear tests and all operations at nuclear reactors and related

facilities.

Step 2 is the dismantling of missiles and nuclear facilities,... which would then have

to be monitored and inspected.

Finally, in the third step, North Korea eliminates its nuclear program and joins the non-proliferation

treaty,... redirecting its nuclear scientists and engineers to civilian programs.

The last step alone would take a decade,... meaning a total of more than 15 years.

But other experts say the process could end much more quickly... if the North is determined

to do it.

"If North Korea is really sincere about denuclearizing and identifies its exact nuclear capabilities,

while allowing international bodies to monitor its facilities,... the process could only

take six months or a year."

"I think it's possible for North Korea to denuclearize within President Trump's remaining

years in office,... as long as it chooses to.

And it's likely to,... because what the U.S. will do in response is ease its sanctions

and give the regime protection."

"President Trump has set his own timetable for the North's denuclearization.

If North Korea follows through with the plan until it's no longer a threat to the U.S.,...

it could take maybe two-and-a-half to three-and-a-half years."

So rather than the technological issues of nuclear disarmament,... the main factor could

be North Korea's will and sincerity.

Park Hee-jun, Arirang News.

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